All posts tagged: finance

Bubbles and Balloons

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Essays

Bubbles always pop. Balloons sometimes do: but they often kind of… sigh. Technically, that’s the difference: a bubble exists until it doesn’t, while a balloon can spend a long time in the in‑between—less pressure than before, but still very much there. In markets, a bubble is the thing you tell your grandkids about. A balloon is the thing you might forget happened until you pull up a chart. 2021 to 2022, I think, was a […]

On Financial Fraud

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Essays

This story is going to break over the weekend, potentially sooner. It’s somewhat unclear to me exactly how big it is, as my experience with commodities trading is very limited. But having spoken to a few people who have done similar commodities trading with such firms as Barclays Global Investors and Morgan Stanley, I can confirm that the accusation holds water, which automatically makes it a big story. When David Anderson starts pushing the story, I’ll […]